Odds
Player analysis
F. Coria comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning F. Coria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving F. Coria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 10 Feb | Berrettini | 5-7 5-7 | L |
| 7 Aug | Schwaerzler | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 5 Aug | Cecchinato | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 30 Jul | Michalski | 5-7 6-1 4-6 | L |
| 29 Jul | Krumich | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Mar | Zverev | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Mannarino | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | W |
| 24 Feb | Nava | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 20 Feb | Buse | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | L |
| 20 Feb | Lajovic | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | W |

