OlbiaHard1/16-finals16 Oct 2025 · 11:35
P. Basile
#677 · Italy
VS
P. Carreno-Busta
#117 · Spain

Odds

Market
Basile
Carreno-Busta
Winner

Player analysis

P. Basile comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.5, meaning P. Basile has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving P. Basile vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Basile has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -7.53Trend up

P. Carreno-Busta has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.9 to 18.0, with at least one match where P. Carreno-Busta was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.87Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLL

1W 4L last 5

2 FebForti6-4 6-3L
24 NovParizzia6-4 6-2W
18 NovGadamauri3-6 2-6L
16 OctCarreno-Busta2-6 7-6 3-6L
24 AugCompagnucci6-2 7-5L
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

25 FebLehecka6-7 4-6L
24 FebShapovalov6-2 6-4W
22 FebNardi6-7 6-4 7-6W
21 FebZandschulp3-6 2-6W
17 FebHalys6-4 5-7 3-6L

Hard court stats

Basile
Stat
Carreno-Busta
51.9%
Win rate
59.3%
41–38
W–L
210–144

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults1