Odds
Player analysis
P. Basile comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.5, meaning P. Basile has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving P. Basile vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Basile has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
B. Gadamauri has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 7.2, with at least one match where B. Gadamauri was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving B. Gadamauri vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 2 Feb | Forti | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 24 Nov | Parizzia | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 18 Nov | Gadamauri | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 16 Oct | Carreno-Busta | 2-6 7-6 3-6 | L |
| 24 Aug | Compagnucci | 6-2 7-5 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Mar | Rincon | 6-7 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 9 Mar | Ovcharenko | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 8 Mar | Paldanius | 2-6 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 5 Mar | Giustino | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 3 Mar | Henning | 3-6 6-3 2-6 | W |

