Odds
Player analysis
R. Safiullin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.7 with a downward trend. R. Safiullin is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving R. Safiullin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
G. A. Bailly comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.8 to 20.3, with at least one match where G. A. Bailly was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving G. A. Bailly vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Mar | Choinski | 6-4 5-7 5-7 | L |
| 2 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 17 Feb | Blockx | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | Auger-Aliassime | 1-6 6-7 6-7 Ret. | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Mar | Coppejans | 6-0 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 19 Mar | Canas | 7-5 6-7 6-2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Purtseladze | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | W |
| 10 Mar | Ghibaudo | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 4 Mar | Herbert | 6-3 6-7 6-3 | L |

