Odds
Player analysis
R. Safiullin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.4 to 23.1, with at least one match where R. Safiullin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Safiullin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
G. A. Bailly comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning G. A. Bailly has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving G. A. Bailly vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. A. Bailly has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Mar | Choinski | 6-4 5-7 5-7 | L |
| 2 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 17 Feb | Blockx | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | Auger-Aliassime | 1-6 6-7 6-7 Ret. | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Mar | Coppejans | 6-0 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 19 Mar | Canas | 7-5 6-7 6-2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Purtseladze | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | W |
| 10 Mar | Ghibaudo | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 4 Mar | Herbert | 6-3 6-7 6-3 | L |

