E. Nava has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.7 with a downward trend. E. Nava is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Nava vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Baez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.