PerugiaClayFinal1 Jun 2026 · 10:05
L. Carboni
ATP #477Italy
VS
J. Sels
ATP #450Netherlands
CARBONI
1.292
·
SELS
3.71

Odds

Market
Carboni
Sels
Winner
1.292
3.71
Total
line 20.5
1.76
Over 20.5
1.92
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.926
Over 21.0
1.893
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.96
-4.5 games
1.74
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
1.855
-4.0 games
1.971
+4 games

Player analysis

L. Carboni has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.7 to 16.8, with at least one match where L. Carboni was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving L. Carboni vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.84Trend mixed

J. Sels comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning J. Sels has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Sels vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.48Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Carboni
Stat
Sels
49.7%
Win rate
53.8%
92–93
W–L
136–117

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
CarboniSels

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #477Carboni vs SelsATP #450

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Carboni 50% (9293) · Sels 54% (136117)

Last match at Perugia

W31 May 2026 · Semi-finals
vs L. Tu · 3-6 4-6
1st serve68%1st won61.4%Aces1BP conv42.9%
W31 May 2026 · Semi-finals
vs E. Betti · 6-7 4-6
1st serve64%1st won73.5%Aces4BP conv75%

Quick comparison

CarboniStatSels
50%Clay W%54%
70%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)60%
50%BP conv (L5)50%
1Aces (L5 avg)2