I. Jovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning I. Jovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Jovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.0 to 13.8, with at least one match where P. Badosa was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.