L. Sun comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning L. Sun has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Sun vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sun has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.6 with a downward trend. P. Badosa is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.