CincinnatiHardQuarter-finals14 Aug 2025 · 21:10
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
VS
F. Auger-Aliassime
#8 · Canada
SINNER
1.11
·
AUGER-ALIASSIME
8

Odds

Market
Sinner
Auger-Aliassime
Winner
1.11
8

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-22 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 13.49Trend mixed

F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning F. Auger-Aliassime has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS -1.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

10 MarFils6-3 7-6L
9 MarDiallo7-6 3-6 3-6W
7 MarMonfils7-6 3-6 4-6W
27 FebAuger-Aliassime4-6 2-6W
26 FebAuger-Aliassime6-3 7-6L
Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarMedvedev6-7 6-7W
14 MarZverev2-6 4-6W
12 MarTien1-6 2-6W
11 MarFonseca6-7 6-7W
8 MarShapovalov3-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Sinner
Stat
Auger-Aliassime
80.5%
Win rate
61.2%
248–60
W–L
213–135

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
Aces10
Double faults2
BP saved60%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces10
Double faults3

Head to head

42
Indoor 20
Hard 21
Clay 01
J. Sinner vs F. Auger-Aliassime head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - TurinIndoorSinner7-5 6-1
ParisIndoorFinalSinner4-6 6-7
US OpenHardSemi-finalsSinner6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsSinner6-0 6-2
CincinnatiHard1/8-finalsAuger-Aliassime2-6 7-6 6-1
MadridClay1/8-finalsAuger-Aliassime6-1 6-2