R. Collignon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.1 to 13.4, with at least one match where R. Collignon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving R. Collignon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

F. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. F. Auger-Aliassime is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving F. Auger-Aliassime vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.