Odds
Player analysis
F. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. F. Auger-Aliassime is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving F. Auger-Aliassime vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Z. Bergs comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.9, meaning Z. Bergs has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving Z. Bergs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Z. Bergs has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 May | Altmaier | 4-6 6-4 4-6 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 20 May | Kovacevic | 6-4 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 19 May | Kopriva | 7-5 6-1 | W |
| 9 May | Navone | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 27 Apr | Blockx | 7-6 6-3 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 24 May | Machac | 6-4 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 15 May | Vallejo | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 14 May | Bautista-Agut | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 May | Atmane | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 3 May | Tabilo | 4-6 6-4 3-6 | L |

