Odds
Player analysis
A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 27 Apr | Ruud | 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 25 Apr | Carreno-Busta | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Halys | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 10 Mar | Tien | 4-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Mensik | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 29 Apr | Arnaboldi | 7-6 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Lajovic | 6-0 3-6 6-4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Halys | 1-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 6 Apr | Garin | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 5 Apr | Muller | 1-6 7-6 4-6 | L |

