French OpenClayATP Semi-finals5 Jun 2026 · 14:30
M. Arnaldi
ATP #104Italy
VS
F. Cobolli
ATP #14Italy
ARNALDI
3.12
·
COBOLLI
1.42

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Cobolli
Change
Winner
3.12
1.42
Total
line 33.5
1.44
Over 33.5
2.46
Under 33.5
Total
line 34.0
1.48
Over 34.0
2.4
Under 34.0
Handicap
games
2.55
-2.0 games
1.5
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.38
-2.5 games
1.57
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 7.0, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 1.06Trend mixed

F. Cobolli arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 9.42Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Cobolli
62.9%
Win rate
61.9%
122–72
W–L
140–86

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
ArnaldiCobolli

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #104Arnaldi vs CobolliATP #14

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Arnaldi 63% (12272) · Cobolli 62% (14086)

Last match at French Open

W1 Jun 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/8-finals
vs F. Tiafoe · 6-7 7-6 6-3 6-7 4-6
1st serve65%1st won65.5%Aces18BP conv50%
W3 Jun 2026 · ATP French Open - Quarter-finals
vs F. Auger-Aliassime · 6-4 4-6 4-6 4-6
1st serve62%1st won69.1%Aces8BP conv50%

Quick comparison

ArnaldiStatCobolli
63%Clay W%62%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)80%
50%BP conv (L5)50%
9Aces (L5 avg)8