French OpenClayATP Quarter-finals3 Jun 2026 · 11:00
M. Berrettini
ATP #105Italy
VS
M. Arnaldi
ATP #104Italy
BERRETTINI
1.543
·
ARNALDI
2.62

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Arnaldi
Change
Winner
1.543
2.62
Total
line 38.5
1.9
Over 38.5
1.88
Under 38.5
Total
line 38.0
1.862
Over 38.0
2
Under 38.0
Handicap
games
3.6
-2.5 games
1.26
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.94
-3.5 games
1.82
+3.5 games

Player analysis

M. Berrettini shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 61. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.4 to 13.1, with at least one match where M. Berrettini was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 4.78Trend mixed

M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 7.0, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 1.06Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Arnaldi
66.9%
Win rate
62.9%
105–52
W–L
122–72

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces9
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
BerrettiniArnaldi

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #105Berrettini vs ArnaldiATP #104

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Berrettini 67% (10552) · Arnaldi 63% (12272)

Last match at French Open

W1 Jun 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/8-finals
vs J. M. Cerundolo · 3-6 6-7 6-7
1st serve71%1st won84.2%Aces5BP conv40%
W1 Jun 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/8-finals
vs F. Tiafoe · 6-7 7-6 6-3 6-7 4-6
1st serve65%1st won65.5%Aces18BP conv50%

Quick comparison

BerrettiniStatArnaldi
67%Clay W%63%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
80%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)50%
9Aces (L5 avg)9