E. Rybakina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.4 to 25.6, with at least one match where E. Rybakina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.9, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.