Odds
Player analysis
J. Cristian comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 26 on average. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.3, meaning J. Cristian has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Cristian vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 22 Mar | Alexandrova | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | W |
| 21 Mar | Stearns | 4-6 5-7 | W |
| 8 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 7 Mar | Joint | 0-6 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 5 Mar | Tjen | 4-6 6-4 7-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 22 Mar | Cristian | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 20 Mar | Tagger | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 6 Mar | Gibson | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 17 Feb | Linette | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Ostapenko | 4-6 2-6 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Hard | WTA 1/16-finals | Cristian | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | |
| WTA Adelaide | Hard | 1/16-finals | Cristian | 6-4 6-4 | |
| Tokyo | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Alexandrova | 6-1 6-2 |

