Odds
Player analysis
T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 55. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.8 to 13.8, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 24 Apr | Tirante | 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 5 Apr | Burruchaga | 1-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Tiafoe | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Etcheverry | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Vallejo | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 14 Apr | Virtanen | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sinner | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Vacherot | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 10 Apr | Bublik | 6-3 6-0 | W |
| 9 Apr | Etcheverry | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open | Hard | 1/8-finals | Alcaraz | 7-6 6-4 7-5 | |
| French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 0-6 1-6 4-6 | |
| Olympic Games | Grass | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-7 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | Quarter-finals | Alcaraz | 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | 1/8-finals | Alcaraz | 7-6 6-7 6-3 | |
| ATP Toronto | Hard | Quarter-finals | Paul | 3-6 6-4 3-6 | |
| ATP Miami | Hard | 1/8-finals | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | |
| Montreal | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paul | 6-7 7-6 6-3 |