Closing Line Value Report — Thursday, April 16, 2026
The CLV tracker recorded 41 completed matches on April 16, 2026, covering 10 events including Rouen. Pinnacle markets opened and closed with 25 notable moves, reflecting where sharp bettors placed their money ahead of the closing line. This page documents every result and line shift for the day.
Top Closing Line Value Shifts
Sharp money left its clearest fingerprint on A. Parks in Stuttgart. Opening at 10.05 and closing at 8.79, the 14.3% Pinnacle move was the day's largest. Result: a loss (6-7 3-6). The day's second-biggest move came from Oeiras 3, where R. Safiullin shifted 10.5% (2.40 → 2.68) — a strong CLV signal of -10.5% for those who backed him early. Rounding out the top three, Z. Sonmez in Stuttgart moved 9.8% from open, finishing at 2.45.
Against the Odds: Upset Report
That day produced 7 results where the underdog prevailed. The biggest came from Oeiras: D. Semenistaja beat T. J. Brockmann 6-4 6-3 at 4.16. In Rouen, T. Maria overcame 2.89 odds to defeat D. Salkova 6-3 6-2. These upsets saw little line movement before close — the market did not anticipate either outcome. In such cases, underdog winners captured outcome value rather than closing line value; the market continued to favour the favourite right up until the first ball was struck.
Closing Line Value Statistics
Closing line value data: 41 matches tracked, 63% favourite win rate, 3.5% average Pinnacle line move. 19 of 41 matches saw the opening favourite's odds shorten before close — a sign of sustained market confidence. The largest single move was 14.3% on A. Parks in Stuttgart. The vs mkt column showed the widest gap for B. Nakashima in Barcelona, where Pinnacle and the average bookmaker differed by +136.9%.
Frequently Asked Questions — Closing Line Value in Tennis Betting
What is closing line value (CLV) in tennis betting?
Closing line value measures the difference between the odds you bet at and the final odds Pinnacle offered just before the match began. If you bet at 2.00 and the match closed at 1.80, you have positive CLV — you secured a better price than the final market. CLV is widely regarded as the most reliable indicator of long-term profitability in sports betting, because Pinnacle's closing line incorporates all available sharp money and represents the most accurate probability estimate available to the public.
Why does DeuceHQ use Pinnacle as the reference bookmaker?
Pinnacle is the industry benchmark for sharp money. Unlike most bookmakers, Pinnacle does not limit or ban winning bettors — they actively welcome sharp action. This means their odds reflect the true market consensus and are harder to beat consistently. When Pinnacle's line moves significantly from open to close, it signals that informed bettors have entered the market. The vs mkt column on this page compares Pinnacle's closing price to the average of other major bookmakers, highlighting where the sharpest market diverged from the wider betting market.
How is the CLV percentage calculated on this page?
CLV% measures the value of your bet relative to the closing line: ((odds you bet at − closing odds) / closing odds) × 100. On this page we use Pinnacle's opening price as the reference — the CLV% shows what you would have captured by betting at open. A positive CLV% means the odds shortened from open to close (you would have secured a better price than the final market); a negative CLV% means the odds drifted out. All calculations use Pinnacle's official open and close prices sourced in real time.