Odds
Player analysis
B. Ellis has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.7, meaning B. Ellis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving B. Ellis vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
M. Kukushkin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning M. Kukushkin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Kukushkin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Kukushkin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Apr | Xiao | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Broady | 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Jones | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | W |
| 31 Mar | Honda | 2-6 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Kwon | 2-6 0-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Apr | Cui | 6-4 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 30 Mar | Glinka | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 24 Mar | Valle | 1-6 6-3 5-7 | L |
| 18 Mar | Baena | 1-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
| 16 Mar | Butvilas | 6-7 4-6 | W |

