OddsArchive
Pinnacle line movement — Friday, May 15, 2026
22 matches · ATP 1 · WTA 0 · CH 21
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
K. Volynets vs Y. Starodubtseva Challenger Women - Singles: Paris | 1.89 → 2.37 | +25.7% | ↗ |
M. Damm vs J. M. Cerundolo Challenger Men - Singles: Bordeaux | 1.61 → 1.53 | -5.4% | ↗ |
J. Faria vs E. Nava Challenger Men - Singles: Oeiras 6 | 1.83 → 1.59 | -12.7% | ↗ |
A. Tabilo vs D. Lajovic Challenger Men - Singles: Valencia | 1.32 → 1.26 | -4.9% | ↗ |
R. Collignon vs T. Droguet Challenger Men - Singles: Bordeaux | 1.56 → 1.47 | -6.0% | ↗ |
G. I. Justo vs F. Roncadelli Challenger Men - Singles: Cordoba 2 | 1.77 → 1.79 | +1.0% | ↗ |
A. Charaeva vs A. Sasnovich Challenger Women - Singles: Paris | 1.69 → 1.59 | -5.8% | ↗ |
A. Rinderknech vs M. Damm Challenger Men - Singles: Bordeaux | 1.43 → 1.54 | +7.8% | ↗ |
Z. Piros vs L. Neumayer Challenger Men - Singles: Zagreb | 1.89 → 1.82 | -3.5% | ↗ |
J. M. Cerundolo vs R. A. Burruchaga Challenger Men - Singles: Bordeaux | 1.93 → 2.05 | +6.4% | ↗ |
K. Smith vs I. Ivashka Challenger Men - Singles: Bengaluru 2 | 1.87 → 1.79 | -4.1% | ↗ |
A. Molcan vs T. Griekspoor Challenger Men - Singles: Bordeaux | 1.75 → 1.78 | +1.7% | ↗ |
D. Vallejo vs Z. Bergs Challenger Men - Singles: Valencia | 1.81 → 1.74 | -3.6% | ↗ |
P. Sekulic vs K. Tyagi Challenger Men - Singles: Bengaluru 2 | 1.22 → 1.22 | -0.3% | ↗ |
H. Dellien vs L. Djere Challenger Men - Singles: Oeiras 6 | 1.53 → 1.52 | -0.9% | ↗ |
C. Ruud vs L. Darderi ATP - Singles: Rome | 1.36 → 1.34 | -1.3% | ↗ |
Y. Putintseva vs D. Parry Challenger Women - Singles: Paris | 1.33 → 1.34 | +0.7% | ↗ |
K. Coppejans vs D. Blanch Challenger Men - Singles: Tunis | 1.63 → 1.63 | 0.0% | ↗ |
B. Van De Zandschulp vs Q. Halys Challenger Men - Singles: Bordeaux | 1.61 → 1.60 | -0.7% | ↗ |
C. Osorio vs B. Krejcikova Challenger Women - Singles: Parma | 1.86 → 1.87 | +0.4% | ↗ |
M. Keys vs A. Zakharova Challenger Women - Singles: Paris | 1.16 → 1.16 | -0.1% | ↗ |
T. Boyer vs I. Montes-De La Torre Challenger Men - Singles: Tunis | 1.44 → 1.44 | 0.0% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Friday, May 15, 2026
22 Pinnacle tennis markets closed on May 15, 2026, spanning 10 tournaments across clay and hard courts. The odds tracker recorded an average line movement of 4.6% from open to close, with 7 markets showing shifts of 5% or above. Shortening was the dominant direction of movement, accounting for 59% of all markets. Detailed match-by-match analysis below.
Top 5 Pinnacle Line Movements on May 15, 2026
Sorted by absolute percentage change, the top five Pinnacle line movers on May 15, 2026 were: K. Volynets vs Y. Starodubtseva (CH-W Paris, +25.7%, 1.89 → 2.37, the market moved against the favourite); J. Faria vs E. Nava (CH-M Oeiras 6, -12.7%, 1.83 → 1.59, sharp money entered on the favourite); A. Rinderknech vs M. Damm (CH-M Bordeaux, +7.8%, 1.43 → 1.54, Pinnacle revised the favourite's implied probability downward); J. M. Cerundolo vs R. A. Burruchaga (CH-M Bordeaux, +6.4%, 1.93 → 2.05, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog); R. Collignon vs T. Droguet (CH-M Bordeaux, -6.0%, 1.56 → 1.47, sharp money entered on the favourite).
The top mover, Y. Starodubtseva in CH-W Paris, showed a +25.7% change — 5.6 times the day's average movement. When a single match moves this far from open, it typically reflects late withdrawal or injury news, sharp syndicate activity, or a significant divergence between public and professional opinion on the match outcome.
May 15, 2026 Odds Movement Summary
The May 15, 2026 Pinnacle tennis market showed a clear shortening bias: 59% of all lines moved in favour of the favourite. Average movement across all 22 matches was 4.6% — lower than yesterday's 5.3% — with 7 markets exceeding 5%. CH-M Bordeaux had the most active markets by movement volume, averaging 4.7% per match. Markets with zero movement — where Pinnacle held its opening price — numbered 2, representing 9% of the day's activity.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (or CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalising the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without restricting their accounts, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price rose from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.