Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Thursday, April 16, 2026
20 matches · ATP 5 · WTA 4 · CH 11
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
A. Parks vs M. Andreeva WTA - Singles: Stuttgart | 10.05 → 8.79 | -12.5% | ↗ |
B. Ellis vs M. Kukushkin Challenger Men - Singles: Wuning 2 (China) - Qualification | 3.62 → 4.01 | +10.8% | ↗ |
C. Alcaraz vs T. Machac ATP - Singles: Barcelona | 8.07 → 7.21 | -10.7% | ↗ |
O. Crawford vs J. Kennedy Challenger Men - Singles: Tallahassee | 1.33 → 1.38 | +4.0% | ↗ |
R. Safiullin vs L. van Assche Challenger Men - Singles: Oeiras 3 | 1.45 → 1.51 | +4.5% | ↗ |
W. Osuigwe vs S. Kraus Challenger Women - Singles: Oeiras | 1.37 → 1.41 | +2.9% | ↗ |
L. Fernandez vs Z. Sonmez WTA - Singles: Stuttgart | 2.32 → 2.45 | +5.6% | ↗ |
A. Fils vs B. Nakashima ATP - Singles: Barcelona | 3.46 → 3.65 | +5.5% | ↗ |
S. Shimabukuro vs B. Zhukayev Challenger Men - Singles: Busan | 1.42 → 1.41 | -0.9% | ↗ |
C. Tabur vs A. Martin Challenger Men - Singles: Tallahassee | 1.31 → 1.29 | -1.7% | ↗ |
L. Sonego vs A. Rublev ATP - Singles: Barcelona | 3.98 → 4.17 | +4.8% | ↗ |
A. Holmgren vs A. Galarneau Challenger Men - Singles: Busan | 1.65 → 1.58 | -4.6% | ↗ |
D. Salkova vs T. Maria WTA - Singles: Rouen | 1.36 → 1.42 | +4.4% | ↗ |
L. Broady vs I. Ivashka Challenger Men - Singles: Busan | 1.38 → 1.44 | +4.4% | ↗ |
D. Altmaier vs A. Molcan ATP - Singles: Munich | 1.86 → 1.79 | -4.0% | ↗ |
D. Semenistaja vs T. J. Brockmann Challenger Women - Singles: Oeiras | 1.22 → 1.24 | +1.7% | ↗ |
J. Boulais vs G. Hussey Challenger Men - Singles: Wuning 2 (China) - Qualification | 1.60 → 1.64 | +2.6% | ↗ |
D. Shapovalov vs F. Marozsan ATP - Singles: Munich | 1.71 → 1.77 | +3.6% | ↗ |
N. Jarry vs J. Faria Challenger Men - Singles: Oeiras 3 | 2.02 → 1.95 | -3.4% | ↗ |
A. Bondar vs O. Oliynykova WTA - Singles: Rouen | 1.98 → 1.92 | -3.2% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Thursday, April 16, 2026
Thursday's Pinnacle market on April 16, 2026 processed 42 tennis matches. Odds moved by an average of 3.1% from open to final close, with the sharpest single movement reaching 12.5% on A. Parks. 10 tournaments contributed to the day's activity, led by CH-M Wuning 2 (China) - Qualification. The complete line movement ranking for April 16, 2026 follows.
Where Favourites Lost Ground on April 16, 2026
Market analysis for April 16, 2026 identifies five matches where Pinnacle adjusted odds most aggressively. A. Parks vs M. Andreeva in WTA Stuttgart led all movers at -12.5%, with the line travelling from 10.05 at open to 8.79 at close (sharp money came in on the favourite). Next was B. Ellis in CH-M Wuning 2 (China) - Qualification at +10.8% (3.62 → 4.01, the underdog attracted late money), followed by T. Machac in ATP Barcelona at -10.7% (8.07 → 7.21, sharp money came in on the favourite).
Fourth and fifth: Z. Sonmez in WTA Stuttgart at +5.6% (2.32 → 2.45, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog) and B. Nakashima in ATP Barcelona at +5.5% (3.46 → 3.65, the market moved against the favourite). A combined 45.1 percentage points of movement across these five markets — 2.9x what you'd expect from five average markets — illustrates how significantly Pinnacle's model revised its probability estimates for these particular matches on April 16, 2026.
Market Direction on April 16, 2026 — Pinnacle Tennis
April 16, 2026 line movement breakdown: 42 total markets, 5 significant movers (>5%), 11 odds shortened, 26 drifted, 5 unchanged. The largest single move was 12.5% on A. Parks. The smallest non-zero move was 0.2% on S. Cirstea in WTA Rouen. Challenger events accounted for 57% of the day's markets and 20% of significant moves — consistent with the higher variance typically seen in lower-tier markets.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (or CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it generally means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalising the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without restricting them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price rose from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.