Odds
Player analysis
E. Spizzirri comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 17.4, with at least one match where E. Spizzirri was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Spizzirri has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.
C. Rodesch comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.0 with a downward trend. C. Rodesch is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Rodesch vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 25 May | Tiafoe | 3-6 7-6 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 12 Feb | Jones | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Duckworth | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sinner | 6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 22 Jan | Wu | 6-2 6-4 6-7 4-6 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 19 May | Riedi | 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 14 May | Choinski | 6-7 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 14 May | Mikrut | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 May | Dostanic | 7-5 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 4 May | Prizmic | 6-4 6-3 | L |

