A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.8 with a downward trend. A. Pellegrino is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

T. Skatov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.5, meaning T. Skatov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving T. Skatov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.