A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 12.2, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

T. Skatov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning T. Skatov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Skatov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Skatov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.