Odds
Player analysis
J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.5 (range: -6.7 to 21.6). Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
A. Zakharova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Zakharova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 23 Mar | Cristian | 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Fernandez | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Rybakina | 1-6 6-7 | L |
| 11 Mar | Bencic | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Ostapenko | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 21 Mar | Mboko | 1-6 5-7 | L |
| 20 Mar | Kalinskaya | 6-3 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Bondar | 5-7 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Sramkova | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 16 Mar | Chirico | 6-2 6-1 | W |

