RomeClaySemi-finals16 May 2025 · 20:50
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
VS
T. Paul
#23 · USA
SINNER
1.09
·
PAUL
9.34

Odds

Market
Sinner
Paul
Winner
1.09
9.34

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-22 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 13.49Trend mixed

T. Paul has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.5 to 27.1, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 2.3Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

9 MarFonseca6-2 6-3L
7 MarBergs1-6 2-6W
22 FebPaul4-6 6-4 6-3L
22 FebPaul4-6 3-6W
21 FebFritz4-6 3-6W
Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarMedvedev6-7 6-7W
14 MarZverev2-6 4-6W
12 MarTien1-6 2-6W
11 MarFonseca6-7 6-7W
8 MarShapovalov3-6 2-6W

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Paul
71.8%
Win rate
64.8%
89–35
W–L
114–62

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
Aces10
Double faults2
BP saved60%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

41
Clay 20
Hard 20
Grass 01
J. Sinner vs T. Paul head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RomeClaySemi-finalsSinner1-6 6-0 6-3
ATP US OpenHard1/8-finalsSinner7-6 7-6 6-1
ATP TorontoHardSemi-finalsSinner4-6 4-6
EastbourneGrass1/8-finalsPaul6-3 3-6 6-3
MadridClay1/32-finalsSinner7-6 6-7 3-6