Odds
Player analysis
J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Y. Yuan comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning Y. Yuan has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving Y. Yuan vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Yuan has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Mar | Gibson | 7-5 2-6 6-1 | L |
| 8 Mar | Tomljanovic | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Potapova | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 1 Mar | Bucsa | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 28 Feb | Boulter | 0-6 6-3 6-3 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/64-finals | Paolini | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | |
| WTA Wuhan | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 4-6 3-6 | |
| WTA Beijing | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 6-2 3-6 4-6 |

