Odds
Player analysis
J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Paolini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
D. Yastremska shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 54. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.0 to 14.8, with at least one match where D. Yastremska was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving D. Yastremska vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Yastremska has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 May | Mertens | 6-4 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 7 May | Jeanjean | 6-7 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 25 Apr | Baptiste | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Siegemund | 6-3 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 15 Apr | Sonmez | 6-2 6-2 | L |
5W 0L last 5
| 16 May | Krejcikova | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 16 May | Maneiro | 7-6 6-7 7-6 | W |
| 14 May | Sierra | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 13 May | Vandewinkel | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 12 May | Bosio | 6-7 3-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Palermo | Clay | 1/8-finals | Paolini | 6-2 4-6 2-6 | |
| Florence | Clay | 1/8-finals | Paolini | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | |
| Cluj-Napoca | Clay | 1/8-finals | Paolini | 4-6 1-6 | |
| Lyon | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Yastremska | 4-6 6-7 | |
| Linz | Indoor | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | |
| Courmayeur | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Paolini | 4-6 6-7 |

