S. Waltert has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.4 with a downward trend. S. Waltert is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving S. Waltert vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 16.3, with at least one match where J. Ostapenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.