French OpenClay1/8-finals1 Jun 2026 · 11:00
A. Sabalenka
WTA #1Belarus
VS
N. Osaka
WTA #16Japan
SABALENKA
1.211
·
OSAKA
4.92

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Osaka
Change
Winner
1.211
4.92
Total
line 18.5
1.62
Over 18.5
2.16
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.95
Over 19.5
1.85
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.77
-5.5 games
2.05
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.1
-6.5 games
1.67
+6.5 games

Player analysis

Aryna Sabalenka enters the French Open Round of 16 as the world number one and strong favourite at 1.21 decimal odds. The Belarusian has shown mixed recent form on clay, recording wins against Jacquemot, Bouzas Maneiro and Krejcikova, though she suffered losses to Cirstea and Baptiste in her last five matches. Sabalenka holds a 1–0 head-to-head record against Osaka and will look to extend that advantage on the demanding clay surface.

DS 10.91Trend mixed

Naomi Osaka, ranked 16th, faces an uphill battle against Sabalenka at 4.92 decimal odds in this French Open Round of 16 encounter. The Japanese player has shown promising recent form with four wins in her last five matches, including victories over Vekic, Siegemund and Shnaider, though she fell to world number one Iga Swiatek in straight sets. Osaka's career record against Sabalenka stands at 0–1, meaning she will be seeking her first victory against the Belarusian on the Roland Garros clay.

DS 5.72Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Osaka
69.6%
Win rate
57.3%
94–41
W–L
47–35

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
SabalenkaOsaka

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
WTA #1Sabalenka vs OsakaWTA #16

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Sabalenka 70% (9441) · Osaka 57% (4735)

Last match at French Open

W28 May 2026 · WTA French Open - 1/32-finals
vs E. Jacquemot · 7-5 6-2
1st serve55%1st won67.7%Aces2BP conv50%
W28 May 2026 · WTA French Open - 1/32-finals
vs D. Vekic · 6-7 4-6
1st serve62%1st won70.8%Aces5BP conv36.4%

Quick comparison

SabalenkaStatOsaka
70%Clay W%57%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
50%BP conv (L5)40%
1Aces (L5 avg)5