L. Poullain has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning L. Poullain has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Poullain vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Poullain has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

V. Orlov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.6 to 32.5, with at least one match where V. Orlov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving V. Orlov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.