Odds
Player analysis
J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
L. Noskova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 36.6, with at least one match where L. Noskova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving L. Noskova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 13 Mar | Rybakina | 1-6 6-7 | L |
| 11 Mar | Bencic | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Ostapenko | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 8 Mar | Vekic | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Svitolina | 2-6 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 14 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Gibson | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Eala | 2-6 0-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Cirstea | 7-6 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Maneiro | 3-6 3-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing | Hard | Semi-finals | Noskova | 3-6 6-1 6-7 | |
| Bad Homburg | Grass | Semi-finals | Pegula | 6-7 7-5 6-1 | |
| Dubai | Hard | 1/8-finals | Noskova | 6-3 7-6 |

