Mexico CityClaySemi-finals11 Apr 2026 · 22:40
L. Pavlovic
ATP #241France
VS
S. Napolitano
ATP #246Italy
PAVLOVIC
2.07
·
NAPOLITANO
1.82

Odds

Market
Pavlovic
Napolitano
Winner
2.07
1.82
Total
line 20.0
1.31
Over 20.0
2.92
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.41
Over 20.5
2.52
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.53
-3.0 games
2.31
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.66
-2.5 games
2.2
+2.5 games

Player analysis

L. Pavlovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Pavlovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Pavlovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS -2.94Trend down

S. Napolitano has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.7 to 14.3, with at least one match where S. Napolitano was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Napolitano vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.39Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pavlovic
Stat
Napolitano
64.6%
Win rate
53.4%
124–68
W–L
151–132

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces9
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
PavlovicNapolitano

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #241Pavlovic vs NapolitanoATP #246

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Pavlovic 65% (12468) · Napolitano 53% (151132)

Last match at Mexico City

W11 Apr 2026 · Quarter-finals
vs R. Pacheco Mendez · 2-6 6-4 7-6
1st serve45%1st won92.3%Aces16BP conv40%
L13 Apr 2026 · Final
vs J. Duckworth · 6-7 7-6 6-2
1st serve61%1st won67.7%Aces4BP conv15.4%

Quick comparison

PavlovicStatNapolitano
65%Clay W%53%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
50%BP conv (L5)30%
9Aces (L5 avg)4