Odds
Player analysis
J. Shang comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning J. Shang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Shang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Shang has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.
B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.1 with a downward trend. B. Nakashima is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 24 Feb | Medvedev | 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 16 Feb | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Zandschulp | 7-6 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 19 Jan | Bautista-Agut | 6-4 6-7 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 9 Jan | Bublik | 1-6 6-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 May | Bautista-Agut | 2-6 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 11 May | Basilashvili | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 9 May | Bautista-Agut | 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Blockx | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 16 Apr | Fils | 6-2 6-3 | L |

