Odds
Player analysis
G. Monfils comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.3 to 16.4, with at least one match where G. Monfils was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving G. Monfils vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Monfils has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Galarneau | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 26 Feb | Vacherot | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 25 Feb | Dzumhur | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 20 Jan | Sweeny | 6-7 7-5 6-4 7-5 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 8 Mar | Sinner | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Etcheverry | 3-6 6-2 6-7 | W |
| 5 Mar | Tsitsipas | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 15 Feb | Shelton | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | L |

