MoreliaHard1/16-finals24 Mar 2026 · 01:05
S. Mochizuki
#130 · Japan
VS
K. Smith
#244 · USA
MOCHIZUKI
1.62
·
SMITH
2.39

Odds

Market
Mochizuki
Smith
Winner
1.62
2.39
Total
line 20.5
1.56
Over 20.5
2.21
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.64
Over 21.0
2.1
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
3.74
-5.5 games
1.22
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
3.34
-5.0 games
1.27
+5 games

Player analysis

S. Mochizuki comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.6, meaning S. Mochizuki has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving S. Mochizuki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS -11.64Trend up

K. Smith shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 478. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 5.65Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Mochizuki
Stat
Smith
51%
Win rate
60.6%
133–128
W–L
200–130

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted70%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults7
1st serve %80%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

11
Hard 10
Clay 01
S. Mochizuki vs K. Smith head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Nonthaburi 3HardFinalMochizuki6-3 7-5
Mexico CityClayFinalSmith3-6 6-2 4-6