MoreliaHard1/16-finals24 Mar 2026 · 01:05
S. Mochizuki
#129 · Japan
VS
K. Smith
#301 · USA
MOCHIZUKI
1.617
·
SMITH
2.41

Odds

Market
Mochizuki
Smith
Winner
1.617
2.41
Total
line 21.5
1.59
Over 21.5
2.15
Under 21.5
Total
line 23.5
2.17
Over 23.5
1.72
Under 23.5
Handicap
games
2.26
-3.5 games
1.55
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.9
-2.0 games
1.95
+2 games

Player analysis

S. Mochizuki comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.9 to 21.2, with at least one match where S. Mochizuki was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving S. Mochizuki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS 0.7Trend mixed

K. Smith comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning K. Smith has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving K. Smith vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.32Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Mochizuki
Stat
Smith
52%
Win rate
61.1%
129–119
W–L
184–117

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

11
Hard 10
Clay 01
S. Mochizuki vs K. Smith head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Nonthaburi 3HardFinalMochizuki6-3 7-5
Mexico CityClayFinalSmith3-6 6-2 4-6