MorelosHard1/16-finals17 Mar 2026 · 17:00
A. Ayeni
#567 · USA
VS
K. Smith
#301 · USA

Odds

Market
Ayeni
Smith
Change
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.74
Over 21.5
1.99
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
2.02
Over 22.5
1.67
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
2.55
+2.5 games
1.43
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.04
+3.5 games
1.68
-3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Ayeni comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning A. Ayeni has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Ayeni vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Ayeni has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -0.56Trend down

K. Smith has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 19.6, with at least one match where K. Smith was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 4.98Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

18 FebMendez6-3 1-6 4-6L
16 FebVales6-4 6-2W
15 FebBetancourt6-3 7-5W
26 JanJohnson6-3 6-7 4-6L
29 NovGomez3-6 1-6L
Recent form bar chartLLWWW

3W 2L last 5

9 MarMartineau6-3 6-7 2-6L
5 MarGaston3-6 6-3 6-2L
4 MarHolmgren3-6 6-3 3-6W
2 MarOberleitner3-6 3-6W
1 MarMartineau1-6 5-7W

Hard court stats

Ayeni
Stat
Smith
47.9%
Win rate
61.1%
105–114
W–L
184–117

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults7
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted80%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults1