Australian OpenHard1/16-finals23 Jan 2026 · 09:15
F. Tiafoe
#20 · USA
VS
A. De Minaur
#6 · Australia
TIAFOE
5.57
·
MINAUR
1.18

Odds

Market
Tiafoe
Minaur
Winner
5.57
1.18
Total
line 31.5
1.42
Over 31.5
2.49
Under 31.5
Total
line 32.0
1.44
Over 32.0
2.42
Under 32.0
Handicap
games
4.05
-2.0 games
1.21
+2 games
Handicap
games
5.04
-2.5 games
1.17
+2.5 games

Player analysis

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.7 to 25.3, with at least one match where F. Tiafoe was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.54Trend mixed

A. De Minaur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.2 to 18.8, with at least one match where A. De Minaur was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.2Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLL

1W 4L last 5

9 MarNorrie6-4 6-4L
8 MarKorda6-4 4-6 4-6W
24 FebKypson6-1 6-7 7-6L
15 FebMinaur6-3 6-2L
14 FebMinaur6-4 6-3L
Recent form bar chartWWWLL

3W 2L last 5

10 MarTiafoe3-6 4-6W
9 MarCobolli1-6 2-6W
7 MarBrooksby4-6 2-6W
1 MarCobolli7-6 6-4L
28 FebTiafoe3-6 7-6 6-4L

Hard court stats

Tiafoe
Stat
Minaur
57.1%
Win rate
64.7%
248–186
W–L
255–139

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

12
Hard 02
Indoor 10
F. Tiafoe vs A. De Minaur head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsMinaur3-6 4-6 5-7
TorontoHard1/8-finalsMinaur2-6 6-4 4-6
ParisIndoor1/8-finalsTiafoe3-6 6-7