O. Tarvet has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.3, meaning O. Tarvet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving O. Tarvet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — O. Tarvet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -42 over recent matches.

N. Mejia comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.2 with a downward trend. N. Mejia is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving N. Mejia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.