Mexico CityClay1/16-finals7 Apr 2026 · 22:55
N. Mejia
ATP #169Colombia
VS
V. Orlov
ATP #507Ukraine
MEJIA
1.15
·
ORLOV
6.02

Odds

Market
Mejia
Orlov
Winner
1.15
6.02
Total
line 17.5
1.23
Over 17.5
3.55
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.65
Over 18.0
2.29
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
3.56
-7.5 games
1.26
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
2.88
-7.0 games
1.35
+7 games

Player analysis

N. Mejia comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning N. Mejia has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving N. Mejia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Mejia has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS -6.36Trend down

V. Orlov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.6 to 32.5, with at least one match where V. Orlov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving V. Orlov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 4.09Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Mejia
Stat
Orlov
56.7%
Win rate
55.1%
101–77
W–L
109–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults5

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
MejiaOrlov

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #169Mejia vs OrlovATP #507

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Mejia 57% (10177) · Orlov 55% (10989)

Last match at Mexico City

L9 Apr 2026 · 1/8-finals
vs T. Colson · 5-7 3-6
1st serve44%1st won75%Aces2BP conv0%
W6 Apr 2026 · Final
vs I. Marrero Curbelo · 3-6 7-5 6-7
1st serve50%1st won64.8%Aces3BP conv35.3%

Quick comparison

MejiaStatOrlov
57%Clay W%55%
60%1st serve % (L5)50%
60%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)70%
2Aces (L5 avg)1