WTA DohaHardQuarter-finals12 Feb 2026 · 18:00
V. Mboko
#9 · Canada
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
MBOKO
3.84
·
RYBAKINA
1.31

Odds

Market
Mboko
Rybakina
Winner
3.84
1.31

Player analysis

V. Mboko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving V. Mboko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+48) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 6.36Trend down

E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 5.08Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWW

3W 2L last 5

15 MarSabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6L
14 MarRybakina7-5 6-4L
13 MarPegula1-6 6-7W
10 MarKostyuk4-6 4-6W
7 MarBaptiste6-7 6-2 2-6W
Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

12 MarSabalenka7-6 6-4L
11 MarMboko6-4 6-1L
9 MarMboko6-4 6-1L
6 MarMboko6-4 7-6L
14 FebMuchova6-4 7-5L

Hard court stats

Mboko
Stat
Rybakina
73.4%
Win rate
68.8%
80–29
W–L
207–94

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved80%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2

Head to head

22
Hard 21
Indoor 01
V. Mboko vs E. Rybakina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DohaHardQuarter-finalsMboko7-5 4-6 6-4
TokyoIndoorQuarter-finalsRybakina3-6 6-7
MontrealHardSemi-finalsMboko1-6 7-5 7-6
WashingtonHard1/8-finalsRybakina6-3 7-5