MatsuyamaHardFinal3 Nov 2025 · 05:05
K. Matsuda
#530 · Japan
VS
T. Yamanaka
#823 · Japan

Odds

Market
Matsuda
Yamanaka
Winner

Player analysis

K. Matsuda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.9 to 24.0, with at least one match where K. Matsuda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving K. Matsuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.48Trend mixed

T. Yamanaka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning T. Yamanaka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Yamanaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Yamanaka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -31 over recent matches.

DS -1.15Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

6 JanSharipov3-6 6-7L
5 JanPantaratorn6-3 6-2W
4 JanRibecai6-1 5-7 6-7W
17 NovKusuhara7-6 1-6 2-6L
16 NovNakamura6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLLWLW

2W 3L last 5

8 FebHulme4-6 6-4 6-3L
24 NovTung-Lin6-3 6-3L
23 NovRai6-3 4-6 6-2W
17 NovMatsuoka6-3 7-5L
16 NovSumizawa3-6 0-6W

Hard court stats

Matsuda
Stat
Yamanaka
51.9%
Win rate
44.6%
54–50
W–L
62–77

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults0
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults2