Odds
Player analysis
A. Nefve has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning A. Nefve has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Nefve vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
K. Matsuda comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning K. Matsuda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Matsuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 29 Mar | Matsuda | 6-4 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 19 Feb | Ficovich | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Franco | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sheehy | 6-3 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 15 Feb | Bianchi | 5-7 6-3 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 31 Mar | Moriya | 4-6 6-4 6-0 | L |
| 30 Mar | Kusuhara | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 29 Mar | Nefve | 6-4 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 22 Mar | Sun | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 6 Jan | Sharipov | 3-6 6-7 | L |

