Odds
Player analysis
J. Pegula has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -28.9 to 39.8, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
R. Masarova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.2, meaning R. Masarova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving R. Masarova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 8 May | Sonmez | 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Kostyuk | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 Apr | Boulter | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Starodubtseva | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jovic | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 8 May | Fernandez | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 6 May | Selekhmeteva | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | W |
| 5 May | Teichmann | 6-1 1-6 1-6 | W |
| 4 May | Uchijima | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 30 Apr | Pridankina | 6-2 2-6 1-6 | L |

