L. Marmousez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.3, meaning L. Marmousez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Marmousez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Paolini comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 2. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -16.2, meaning A. Paolini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving A. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.