MadridClay1/64-finals21 Apr 2026 · 11:10
T. Maria
#54 · Germany
VS
L. Samson
#171 · Russia
MARIA
2.11
·
SAMSON
1.78

Odds

Market
Maria
Samson
Winner
2.11
1.78
Total
line 17.5
1.24
Over 17.5
3.34
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.28
Over 18.0
3.14
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
1.56
-3.5 games
2.3
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.63
-3.0 games
2.17
+3 games

Player analysis

T. Maria has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning T. Maria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving T. Maria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.57Trend mixed

L. Samson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.5 to 14.3, with at least one match where L. Samson was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Samson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.6Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Maria
Stat
Samson
47.2%
Win rate
58.7%
108–121
W–L
115–81

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Indoor 01
T. Maria vs L. Samson head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA TokyoIndoor1/16-finalsSamson0 - 2