Odds
Player analysis
E. Lys comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning E. Lys has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving E. Lys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 19 Mar | Starodubtseva | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Jan | Cirstea | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 5 Jan | Swiatek | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 4 Jan | Lamens | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 14 Nov | Sonmez | 2-6 6-4 0-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 20 Mar | Townsend | 3-6 6-1 2-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Gibson | 7-5 2-6 6-1 | L |
| 8 Mar | Tomljanovic | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Potapova | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart | Clay | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 2-6 1-6 | |
| Dubai | Hard | 1/16-finals | Paolini | 2-6 5-7 |

