PerugiaClaySemi-finals31 May 2026 · 10:10
B. Winter Lopez
ATP #1034Spain
VS
N. Alvarez Varona
ATP #475Spain
LOPEZ
7.54
·
VARONA
1.084

Odds

Market
Lopez
Varona
Winner
7.54
1.084
Total
line 18.5
1.826
Over 18.5
1.98
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
1.877
+6.0 games
1.926
-6 games

Player analysis

B. Winter Lopez comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -14.0, meaning B. Winter Lopez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving B. Winter Lopez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Winter Lopez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS -13.98Trend mixed

N. Alvarez Varona comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning N. Alvarez Varona has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving N. Alvarez Varona vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Alvarez Varona has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -0.56Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Lopez
Stat
Varona
46.2%
Win rate
53.4%
79–92
W–L
111–97

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults4

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
LopezVarona

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #1034Lopez vs VaronaATP #475

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Lopez 46% (7992) · Varona 53% (11197)

Quick comparison

LopezStatVarona
46%Clay W%53%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
60%1st serve won (L5)70%
30%BP conv (L5)40%
1Aces (L5 avg)4