T. Monteiro has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.5 with a downward trend. T. Monteiro is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Monteiro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

D. Lajovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.5, meaning D. Lajovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Lajovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.