MadridClay1/8-finals29 Apr 2025 · 21:35
M. Kostyuk
#28 · Ukraine
VS
A. Potapova
#96 · Austria

Odds

Market
Kostyuk
Potapova
Winner

Player analysis

M. Kostyuk comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 13.1, with at least one match where M. Kostyuk was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Kostyuk has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS 1.29Trend mixed

A. Potapova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.3, meaning A. Potapova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving A. Potapova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -6.32Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kostyuk
Stat
Potapova
62.5%
Win rate
62.6%
60–36
W–L
67–40

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults6

Head to head

22
Clay 10
Hard 11
Grass 01
M. Kostyuk vs A. Potapova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/8-finalsKostyuk6-3 6-2
WTA Indian WellsHardQuarter-finalsKostyuk0-6 5-7
WTA BirminghamGrass1/16-finalsPotapova7-6 5-7 4-6
WTA MiamiHard1/32-finalsPotapova6-1 6-3